Distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen, good morning. I want to thank the China Development Forum for inviting me to speak today. It’s an honor to be here, especially as this marks my first visit to China since joining the IMF.

This is the Year of the Snake—a year of renewal and transformation. A fitting symbol, given the pace of change around us.

Patterns of trade and capital flows are shifting. AI is rapidly advancing. Trade is no longer the engine of global growth it used to be. Divergences across countries are widening. And governments worldwide are shifting their policy priorities.

Meanwhile, global growth is steady but underwhelming. Our five-year ahead growth forecast remains at 3.1 percent—well below the pre-pandemic average of 3.7 percent.

This is largely due to declining productivity growth. Total factor productivity, which measures the ability to create more outputs with the same inputs, has been growing at a slower pace since the 2008-09 global financial crisis.

Reviving medium-term growth

My focus today, therefore, is on how to revive medium-term growth. The path to success lies in pursuing structural reforms to raise productivity.

This applies to all countries. In ageing societies—where the share of the working-age population is shrinking—productivity growth has a vital role to play in maintaining living standards.

It also applies to emerging market and developing economies trying to close the gap with richer countries. To provide better jobs and a higher stand of living, they too need to ignite productivity growth.

Without ambitious steps to enhance productivity, global growth is set to remain far below its historical average.

So, what can we do? Let me focus on two priorities that are especially relevant for Asia.

First, innovation. We know that productivity growth increases with technological advances—advances made possible through investments in research and development, a proxy for innovation effort.

Technology transfer, scientific collaboration and policies that fund basic research can foster the kind of innovation we need for long-term growth. And can have a sizeable impact when combined with closer public-private cooperation. In fact, our research shows that productivity growth in advanced economies can increase by 0.2 percentage point a year with a hybrid policy that boosts public research expenditure by a third and doubles subsidies to private research. Because these are average numbers only, the increase could be even higher in emerging markets and developing countries.

Investments in AI are a case in point. No longer an emerging technology, AI is beginning to revolutionize industries and reshape economies. We estimate that AI could boost global GDP growth between 0.1 and 0.8 percentage points per year in the medium term, depending on how it is adopted.

Second, boosting productivity through better resource allocation. The movement of labor and capital toward more productive firms and industries has long been an important source of overall productivity growth. As workers move from farms to factories, for example, their productivity increases dramatically. So too do their income and living standards, with spillovers to the whole economy.

There are many ways countries can achieve a better allocation of resources, including by implementing policies aimed at increasing the mobility of workers, such as re-skilling programs. And more importantly, by strengthening market forces, which create the necessary incentives, through prices and wages.

Asia provides an example of how such reforms can fuel growth. Over the past few decades, Asia prospered as employment and production moved from agriculture to manufacturing. Now, the region contributes over 60 percent of global growth, and is home to some of the world’s largest, most innovative companies.

Continued success, however, requires continued reforms.

Reforms such as strengthening the private sector. Entrepreneurs drive creativity and innovation, investing in sectors with the highest returns. To create the environment they need to thrive, it’s important that there’s a level playing field between the private sector and state-owned enterprises.

For many Asian countries, including China, reforms also involve expanding the services sector.

Services are a potentially important new source of growth. The sector has already drawn about half of the region’s workers, up from just over a fifth in 1990.

And productivity in some services sectors is high. In fact, our analysis shows that Asia’s labor productivity in financial services is four times higher than in manufacturing, and it’s twice as high in business services.

China

In China, reallocating resources to services would have another important benefit: by creating jobs and increasing incomes, it could help boost consumption. A welcome goal that is also a top priority of the government.

While household consumption as a share of GDP in China has risen, it is still among the lowest compared to OECD countries. A sustained increase in consumption’s share of GDP could lead to continued rapid gains in living standards and provide a welcome lift to global demand. This rebalancing of demand also requires reforms to reduce the need for precautionary savings, especially by middle- and lower-income households.

Overall, our analysis suggests that a comprehensive package of reforms to boost consumption and lift productivity could raise China’s potential growth by about 1 percentage point per year over the medium term. That translates into a level of GDP that is close to 20 percent higher than our baseline by 2040.

The IMF’s role

Through our policy advice, lending and capacity development, the IMF has consistently supported countries in establishing macroeconomic and financial stability as a foundation for growth.

To further help in this endeavor, we have formed a new IMF Advisory Council on Entrepreneurship and Growth. The goal is to get new ideas on how countries can ease regulatory barriers, adapt tax systems to a more business-friendly environment, and incentivize long-term savings, so countries have more to spend on innovation.

In this Year of the Snake, let’s embrace change and focus on reforms and policies to revive growth. This will lead to better prospects for people everywhere.

Thank you.

Remarks by International Monetary Fund Deputy Managing Director Nigel Clarke at the China Development Forum
Beijing, China, March 23, 2025

https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2025/03/23/sp032325-dmdclarke-chinadevtforum?s=03

As Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors gain traction worldwide, Caribbean companies are increasingly aligning with these principles to meet growing demands for transparency and responsibility. Globally, companies across industries are demonstrating the impact of ESG initiatives on their brand value, stakeholder trust, and even financial performance. In this evolving landscape, the Caribbean region is taking significant strides in its own ESG journey, often inspired by or collaborating with international corporations.

International companies have set benchmarks for comprehensive ESG integration that Caribbean firms are beginning to adopt. For example, Unilever’s “Sustainable Living Plan” and Microsoft’s carbon-negative pledge have illustrated how companies can drive social and environmental impact while strengthening business resilience.

Unilever’s initiatives, for instance, have led to substantial reductions in waste, water use, and greenhouse gas emissions, enhancing both operational efficiencies and brand perception. Likewise, Microsoft’s 2020 commitment to carbon negativity has inspired a wave of tech companies to adopt more robust carbon reduction strategies. Microsoft’s early achievements, including powering data centers with renewable energy, underscore how an ambitious ESG plan can benefit both environmental outcomes and investor confidence.

In the Caribbean, companies like Royal Caribbean Group are also setting ambitious ESG goals. The company’s “Seastainability” report highlights a multifaceted approach to ESG, such as implementing waste-to-energy systems and engaging in biodiversity projects. This not only demonstrates responsible environmental stewardship but also builds stronger connections with local communities, enhancing the brand’s reputation in the tourism industry

Similarly, Republic Bank in Trinidad & Tobago, in its 2024 annual report, outlined comprehensive measures to address climate risks, invest in social programs, and uphold corporate governance standards. This commitment to ESG aligns Republic Bank with global standards, fostering investor appeal and brand strength amid a shift towards responsible investment criteria.

For Caribbean corporate leaders, effective ESG integration requires actionable goals, ongoing monitoring, and transparent communication with stakeholders. To further align with international standards, regional firms can adopt practices like regular ESG impact assessments, clear data-driven metrics, and industry collaborations to address shared challenges.

According to PwC’s 2022 Caribbean Corporate Governance Survey, while over 60% of Caribbean firms acknowledge ESG’s strategic importance, board-level engagement on ESG remains limited, underscoring the need for greater governance oversight and education.

As Caribbean companies refine their ESG strategies, they are positioning themselves as competitive players in an increasingly responsible global economy. By adopting and adapting international best practices, these firms are not only driving positive change but also enhancing their appeal to a growing base of ESG-conscious investors, customers, and communities. This ESG shift is poised to shape the Caribbean’s corporate landscape, reflecting a larger global transformation that values sustainable and ethical growth. BS

Embracing ESG: Sagicor Group Jamaica’s Comprehensive Approach to Sustainability and Community

Sagicor Group Jamaica’s steadfast dedication to Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles reflects a core philosophy that permeates its vision, mission, and operational practices. Recognizing the role that corporate entities play in shaping a sustainable future, Sagicor has developed robust initiatives across each ESG component to drive value for stakeholders and contribute meaningfully to the Caribbean’s long-term resilience and prosperity.

Environmental Stewardship
Sagicor’s commitment to environmental sustainability is evident in its strategies for energy conservation, sustainable sourcing, and waste management. These initiatives are guided by a focus on reducing the company’s ecological footprint and supporting Jamaica’s transition to a climate-resilient economy.

Water Security Partnership: Recognizing the vulnerability of water resources, Sagicor has partnered with the government to ensure reliable water access across Jamaica. This collaboration aims to make water readily available even during droughts by 2025, underscoring a forward-looking approach to resource security.

Hybridized Work Environment: In line with global trends, Sagicor has adopted a hybrid work model to minimize its physical footprint. This strategy has significantly reduced the need for employee commutes, thus decreasing the company’s carbon emissions. Furthermore, office spaces have been outfitted with energy-efficient lighting, leading to a 75% reduction in energy consumption, which contributes to both environmental conservation and operational cost savings.

Digital Transformation: To further reduce its environmental impact, Sagicor has initiated a comprehensive digital transformation effort, aiming to minimize paper usage across the organization from 2024 to 2027. This shift not only reduces waste but also aligns with global best practices for sustainable business operations.

Eco-Waste Disposal: In collaboration with Recycling Partners of Jamaica, Sagicor Foundation has launched the Sigma Run Go Green Team to collect and recycle plastic waste from its events. This project has successfully recycled over 27,000 bottles, demonstrating Sagicor’s commitment to waste management and environmental responsibility.

Social Responsibility
Sagicor’s social responsibility framework centers on fostering community well-being, promoting social equity, and enhancing access to essential resources. Through targeted programs, the company supports marginalized communities and invests in sectors critical to Jamaica’s social and economic development.

Support for the Farming Community: Sagicor has created specialized financial products, such as agro-processing loans, to support farmers and fisherfolk. This initiative includes affordable healthcare options, reflecting Sagicor’s dedication to meeting the needs of those who often lack access to traditional financial services and healthcare.

Health and Education Investments: Over the past 26 years, Sagicor has invested more than J$600 million in Jamaica’s healthcare infrastructure, contributing to hospitals, children’s health, and disability support services. Additionally, Sagicor’s scholarship programs provide educational support at both tertiary and secondary levels, helping to foster a well-rounded, educated workforce for the nation’s future.

Empowering Women and Marginalized Groups: Sagicor offers entrepreneurial support programs and products designed to empower women and promote social equity. By providing family support leave policies and mentorship programs, the company cultivates a workplace environment that values inclusivity and diversity.

Governance Excellence
Upholding the highest standards of integrity and transparency, Sagicor’s governance framework is geared toward responsible, accountable leadership. This commitment is reinforced through rigorous policies, a focus on data privacy, and proactive cybersecurity measures.

Corporate Governance Structure: Sagicor has implemented a robust governance structure, with committees dedicated to investment, risk management, and IT oversight. This framework ensures vigilance across all operational areas, positioning the company to adapt to evolving risks and challenges. Furthermore, Sagicor’s property services are ISO certified, a mark of quality assurance and commitment to excellence.

Data Privacy and Cybersecurity: Data privacy is a priority for Sagicor, which has established a comprehensive Data Privacy Programme. This includes appointing a dedicated Data Protection Officer and adopting a “Privacy-by-Design” approach for product development. In addition, Sagicor’s cybersecurity framework adheres to global best practices, supported by board-approved policies and active threat monitoring.

Regulatory Monitoring and ESG Framework Development: Sagicor stays at the forefront of ESG regulatory changes, actively monitoring emerging standards and aligning its practices accordingly. The company is currently building out a dedicated ESG framework, which will further integrate sustainability into its corporate strategy, ensuring long-term alignment with global ESG priorities.

Conclusion
Sagicor Group Jamaica’s multifaceted ESG approach exemplifies a commitment to responsible business that goes beyond profit. By addressing environmental impacts, fostering social well-being, and adhering to ethical governance practices, Sagicor not only contributes to the Caribbean’s sustainable development but also strengthens its position as a leader in the region’s financial and social landscape. The company’s dedication to ESG is an inspiring model for other organizations seeking to integrate these essential principles into their operations and support a more sustainable, inclusive future for the Caribbean.

Supporting Sustainable Development Goals: ANSA McAL Group’s Progress in Sustainability

ANSA McAL Group, one of the Caribbean’s leading conglomerates, has consistently advanced its commitment to sustainable development. Since 2015, ANSA McAL has actively invested in green energy, circular economy initiatives, and equal opportunity policies, supporting several United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In recent years, its efforts have amplified, with initiatives across renewable energy, waste reduction, workforce safety, cybersecurity, and ESG integration.

Here’s a closer look at some key projects and the SDGs they advance.

Investing in Green Energy
Since 2015, ANSA McAL has led renewable energy initiatives, generating over 121,000 MWh of green energy in 2023. This aligns directly with SDG 7: Affordable and Clean Energy and SDG 13: Climate Action. The recent signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Kenesjay Green Limited at COP 28 reinforces the Group’s dedication to advancing private-sector green energy projects across the Caribbean, which will help reduce regional carbon footprints and mitigate climate change.

Circular Economy
ANSA McAL’s circular economy approach addresses SDG 12: Responsible Consumption and Production. ANSA Packaging’s impressive 91% increase in glass collection for recycling in Trinidad and Tobago exemplifies this commitment, as does the Beverage Sector’s redirection of over 2.4 million kilograms of spent malt grains from CARIB Breweries. By providing these materials to farmers as low-cost animal feed, ANSA McAL reduces landfill waste and supports local agricultural economies.

Caribbean Natural Capital Hub
In collaboration with The Cropper Foundation, ANSA McAL’s financial entities, ANSA Merchant Bank and ANSA Bank, launched the Caribbean Natural Capital Hub SME Grant Challenge in Trinidad and Tobago. This initiative fosters corporate awareness on environmental responsibility, supporting SDG 15: Life on Land. By introducing a technical working group to explore nature-based reporting, ANSA McAL contributes to preserving and enhancing biodiversity.

Safe Working Environment
Prioritizing a safe workplace, ANSA McAL has reduced workplace accidents by 38% since implementing Safe Systems of Work training. Over 2,400 employees completed this program, aligning the Group with SDG 8: Decent Work and Economic Growth by promoting safe, productive employment.

Enhanced Cybersecurity
ANSA McAL’s investment in cybersecurity, including a new Security Operations Centre (SOC) with Security Orchestration, Automation, and Response (SOAR) capabilities, underscores the Group’s commitment to SDG 9: Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure. The Group’s 24/7 threat detection and incident response services exemplify how technology can strengthen resilience in an increasingly digital business environment.

Equal Opportunity and Culture Transformation
In addressing SDG 5: Gender Equality, ANSA McAL has assessed gender equity in remuneration across five major job levels, with pay differences favoring women in some cases. The Group’s culture transformation initiatives also aim to create an enriching, equitable work environment. By promoting diversity and inclusivity, ANSA McAL supports work-life balance and a culture of growth.

ESG Framework and Enterprise Risk Management
In 2023, ANSA McAL established a Group-wide Sustainability Committee, with representatives from all sectors, alongside the launch of its ESG framework. This framework, designed to integrate sustainability into corporate strategy, supports SDG 16: Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions by fostering governance that is transparent and ethical. Furthermore, the ANSA McAL Playbook & Risk Standard defines the Group’s minimum risk management requirements, emphasizing safety, governance, and long-term impact.

As ANSA McAL builds on these efforts, the Group sets a benchmark for corporate responsibility in the Caribbean, aligning its strategic direction with international best practices and the UN Sustainable Development Goals.

Kingston Wharves Limited’s 2023 ESG Initiatives: Advancing Sustainability, Community Well-Being, and Environmental Protection

In 2023, Kingston Wharves Limited (KWL) reinforced its dedication to Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) practices by aligning with eight key United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). As a crucial logistics hub in Jamaica, KWL uses its position and resources to create a sustainable impact, not only within its operations but also across the Newport West Port Community and Jamaica as a whole.

Commitment to Quality Education and Community Engagement
KWL is committed to empowering local communities through investments in Quality Education. The company supports early childhood education, youth development, and sports, recognizing that strong educational foundations contribute to long-term community resilience. By funding and participating in educational initiatives, KWL helps foster future leaders, workforce talent, and engaged citizens who can drive regional growth.

Promoting Decent Work and Economic Growth
One of KWL’s core beliefs is that every employee’s life should be positively impacted through their employment. The company’s Decent Work and Economic Growth strategy aims to nurture personal, professional, and community development by providing resources for self-sustaining growth. This commitment includes competitive wages, career advancement opportunities, and a supportive work environment that reflects the SDG spirit of “teaching a man to fish.”

Fostering Sustainable Cities and Communities
Recognizing the importance of safe and sustainable urban environments, KWL is dedicated to building Sustainable Cities and Communities. KWL actively promotes civic pride and environmental responsibility within the Newport West area, organizing and sponsoring clean-up and recycling initiatives. This commitment extends beyond its facilities to positively affect the surrounding areas, creating a healthy, dignified, and welcoming space for both residents and visitors.

Environmental Conservation: Life Below Water and Life on Land
Protecting marine and terrestrial ecosystems is central to KWL’s ESG mission. Through programs aligned with Life Below Water and Life on Land, the company has implemented measures to limit environmental impact. KWL spearheads plastic waste reduction, coastal clean-ups, and recycling projects to safeguard marine biodiversity. On land, KWL’s responsible sourcing practices and biodiversity initiatives strive to balance human activity with the preservation of natural habitats.

Gender Equality and Community Empowerment
KWL champions Gender Equality within its organization, providing leadership opportunities and supporting initiatives that empower all employees, regardless of gender. This inclusive approach strengthens the company’s organizational culture, fosters innovation, and demonstrates the impact of gender equity in driving sustainable corporate success.

Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure Investments
KWL’s investments in Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure reflect its commitment to long-term economic and technological advancement. The company continually invests in state-of-the-art technology and infrastructure to support its sustainability objectives and strengthen its operations. This focus on innovation includes integrating environmental and social governance practices into all business functions, reinforcing KWL’s role as a regional leader in responsible business practices.

Climate Action and Tracking Carbon Footprint
KWL has intensified its Climate Action initiatives, measuring and tracking greenhouse gas emissions from electricity and fuel use to reduce its carbon footprint. Through these ongoing assessments, KWL can implement data-driven strategies that contribute to climate change mitigation. All new construction plans incorporate fuel, energy, and water efficiency mechanisms, aligning with global standards for sustainable development.

Waste Management and Recycling
In 2023, KWL made significant strides in recycling and waste management, emphasizing the importance of Eco-Waste Disposal. The company introduced plastic bottle recycling within its daily operations, strategically placing recycling bins throughout its facilities. By collaborating with Recycling Partners of Jamaica, KWL organized two community clean-ups focused on reducing plastic waste and educated employees about the environmental impact of waste disposal. A plastic bottle recycling competition further engaged employees and vendors, reinforcing KWL’s commitment to environmental stewardship within the port community.

Conclusion
Kingston Wharves Limited’s 2023 ESG activities highlight a comprehensive and proactive approach to sustainable business practices. Through targeted initiatives in education, environmental conservation, community well-being, and infrastructure, KWL exemplifies a responsible corporate entity that seeks to contribute to both local and global sustainability goals. As KWL continues to embed the UN SDGs into its business operations, it sets a standard for Caribbean enterprises committed to achieving a sustainable and resilient future for the region.

GraceKennedy: Pioneering Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) for Sustainable Growth

GraceKennedy (GK) is undergoing a transformative integration of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) principles into its operations. This comprehensive approach, rooted in the company’s corporate governance values, underscores GK’s commitment to sustainable growth and resilience within the communities it serves. Following the release of its first ESG statement in 2022 and an extensive ESG materiality assessment in 2023, GK established seven primary ESG goals. These goals are set to guide GK’s trajectory toward a sustainable future while meeting the expectations of stakeholders.

Integrity and Governance: Strengthening Trust and Transparency
Upholding the highest standards of integrity remains at the core of GK’s values. By December 2024, GK aims to establish a dedicated ESG hub on its website, where stakeholders can access the company’s ESG policies and reports. In addition to broadening its stakeholder engagement program, GK plans to publish a comprehensive Environmental, Social, and Governance Policy by 2025, creating a transparent platform for dialogue and ongoing feedback integration.

Employee Welfare and Diversity: Building a Respectful Workplace
As part of its commitment to a safe and inclusive work environment, GK strives to be an employer of choice. Key goals for December 2025 include launching a comprehensive Health, Safety, and Wellness Policy and implementing diversity training across all GK divisions. With a focus on enhancing employee engagement, GK’s workplace initiatives aim to create an atmosphere where each team member feels valued for their contributions.

Responsible Products and Services: Bolstering Consumer Confidence
GK has made responsibility and data privacy cornerstones of its business practices. The company plans to launch a Group Data Protection Policy by the end of 2023 and enhance cybersecurity awareness by 2026. Additionally, GK’s financial literacy program, GK Money Sense, is evolving into a broad-based training initiative designed to help customers make informed financial choices by December 2025. Aiming to support healthier lifestyles, GK has also committed to an accelerated product development strategy that reduces fat, salt, and sugar content across its portfolio by the same date.

Environmental Stewardship: Minimizing Ecological Impact
Reducing environmental impact is central to GK’s ESG agenda. By December 2024, GK plans to implement strategies to reduce virgin plastic use in its products and, by 2025, launch a comprehensive sustainability strategy for all GK entities. Expanding its greenhouse gas (GHG) measurement and tracking efforts, GK intends to implement GHG reduction strategies across all operations by 2026, underscoring the company’s commitment to climate resilience and sustainable resource management.

Community Engagement: Supporting Vibrant and Inclusive Communities
Improving community well-being is a top priority for GK. By 2024, GK will introduce an online CSR portal within its ESG hub, tracking community-focused activities across the organization. GK has also set ambitious targets for volunteer hours and investment, aiming for 4,000 hours and J$370 million annually in community development by 2030. These initiatives focus on expanding access to education, promoting healthy lifestyles, and fostering environmentally sustainable practices, reinforcing GK’s role as a pillar of community support and development.
The “We Care” Report: Mapping GK’s ESG Journey
In September 2023, GK published its inaugural ESG “We Care” report, which documents the company’s sustainability journey and outlines its ESG goals and targets. This report represents a milestone in GK’s commitment to ESG, providing a transparent account of its progress, priorities, and vision for the future.

Through these initiatives, GraceKennedy is not only enhancing corporate sustainability but also contributing to a resilient future for its stakeholders and the wider Caribbean community. GK’s commitment to ESG principles marks a forward-thinking approach that sets the stage for a legacy of sustainable growth and community empowerment.

Caribbean countries are experiencing a decline in birth rates, a trend posing significant challenges for the region’s future workforce, economic vitality, and market demand.

This population shift is driven by several factors: lower birth rates, single-parent households, aging populations, migration, and evolving family structures. For Caribbean business leaders, these trends indicate a shrinking pool of young workers, potential reductions in market size, and shifts in consumer demand—each with implications for long-term strategic planning.

One concern for leaders is workforce sustainability.

With an aging population and declining youth demographics, the region faces a shortage of skilled labour. For instance, in St. Vincent and the Grenadines, the working-age population (25-64) is expected to decrease relative to retirees, signaling potential labour shortages that may hinder economic productivity and increase costs related to recruitment and retention. This demographic shift will also stress social security and pension systems, as fewer working individuals will be available to support a growing number of retirees.

Another key impact is the changing consumer landscape.

As birth rates decline, spending on youth-oriented goods, like children’s apparel and educational services, may decrease. On the other hand, an older demographic increases demand for healthcare, elder services, and financial planning products.

Companies in retail, healthcare, and financial services should consider how to pivot their offerings to cater to an aging population. This shift in demand highlights a growing need for business leaders to proactively adapt their services and marketing strategies to reflect demographic realities which also exacerbates population challenges in the Caribbean.

Skilled professionals often seek better opportunities abroad, creating a “brain drain” that impacts local innovation, healthcare, and education. This emigration trend not only reduces the talent pool but also places added pressure on businesses to offer competitive salaries and benefits to retain top talent.

While remittances from abroad do support local economies, these inflows are not sufficient to offset the lost human capital and may contribute to a reliance on external sources of economic stability.

Mitigation Strategies

To mitigate the impacts of a declining population and labour pool, Caribbean business leaders can take several steps:

Invest in Workforce Automation: Adopting technology and AI can help offset labour shortages and enhance efficiency.

Attract and Retain Talent: Offering competitive wages, flexible work arrangements, and pathways for career growth can help retain existing talent and attract skilled professionals who might otherwise seek opportunities abroad.

Develop Age-Responsive Products: As consumer needs shift with an aging population, tailoring products and services toward elder demographics—such as health, wellness, and retirement services—can help maintain demand.

Expand Markets: Companies can look beyond the Caribbean to more populous markets with younger demographics, like parts of Latin America, to diversify revenue.

Engage in Policy Advocacy: Collaborating with governments to support youth employment initiatives, incentivize family growth, and create skilled migration programs can address demographic challenges systemically.

Enhance Skills Training: Invest in upskilling programs to enhance productivity and adapt the existing workforce to high-demand roles, filling gaps left by emigration.

By anticipating these demographic shifts, leaders can future-proof their businesses, ensuring resilience in a changing Caribbean economy.

The Labour Force Is Growing Less Than Before, And This Will Weaken One Essential Engine For Growth.

Welcome to this press briefing. We have just released, and it is on the internet, our Annual Regional Economic Outlook for the Western Hemisphere. This is a bit like the WEO, but for the region. And here we have two important messages, two key messages.

Need To Rebalance Macroeconomic Policies In The Region

The first one is that there is a need to rebalance macroeconomic policies in the region. And the second one is the urgency to press on with structural reforms to boost potential output growth. And I will explain this. The monetary policy part of the first message, the rebalancing applies to several of the flexible exchange rate and inflation targeting countries in the region with different degrees of intensity. The second message, the urgency to deepen reforms for growth, really applies to almost all economies in the region.

Over the last few years, the region has successfully weathered a series of major shocks in the world economy. They showed resilience and they have adopted really macroeconomic policies in most countries that are at the top of the frontier of what we know. And so far, largely the region has stayed in the sidelines, on the sidelines of global geopolitical tensions.

Now growth in the region is moderating as most economies are operating back near their potential. What is concerning, however, growth in most countries is expected to return to its low historical average and this will not help with the region’s macroeconomic, fiscal and social challenges.

Overall, we expect growth in Latin America and the Caribbean — if we exclude Argentina, which has an important rebound next year, and Venezuela with its own dynamics — growth will moderate from 2.6 in 2023 to 2.2 in 2025, going through 2.6 also this year, 2024. So, we’re going back to the lower part of the 2 percent around these baseline projections. We see the risks to near-term growth tilted to the downside, partly reflecting global risks, including importantly the persistent geopolitical tensions.

Turning to inflation, in line with global trends and also reflecting the effect of tight policies, inflation has fallen markedly since the peak of mid-2022, and it is near the target in most countries. However, it is not a target almost everywhere.

In the region, I would say that the last mile of this inflation has been rather long. We expect to continue to see easing of monetary policy, but gradually on account of sticky services and inflation expectations not being perfectly re-anchored and also because inflation risks are generally tilted to the upside, reflecting basically commodity price volatility — the factors that I mentioned before of geopolitical risks and also new risks of fiscal slippages.

So, with the output gap and inflation gap mostly closed, what should policymakers do?

We think that they need to focus on rebuilding policy space and working on boosting potential growth – the messages I mentioned at the beginning. This means rebalancing the policy mix and pushing forward with structural reforms.

Let me elaborate a bit more on the policy mix. The current combination of macro policies is generally not everywhere, but generally tilted toward tight monetary policy while fiscal policy remains loose. Although the earlier tightening of monetary policy by the region’s central banks was essential to bring inflation down, inflation is now close to target while monetary policy rates remain elevated in many countries. At the same time, however, public debt levels are high and will continue raising if we do not have fiscal consolidation.

So, at this juncture it is necessary to rebalance policies, starting with strengthening public finances. Most countries have quite ambitious fiscal consolidation plans, but their implementation –so from plans to reality — has been in such a way that they have been pushed back. It is crucial in the region that these plans proceed without further delays to rebuild the buffers while protecting priority public spending, investment, and social spending. Strengthening the current fiscal rules is also important so they can deliver these consolidation objectives.

A timely implementation of this fiscal consolidation is critical not only for fiscal sustainability, but also for supporting the normalization of monetary policy and the credibility of the frameworks more broadly. With fiscal policy moving in the right direction, most central banks will be well placed to proceed with the monetary policy easing that we expect, while remaining on guard, of course, against risks of re-emerging price pressures.

The Urgency To Press On With Structural Reforms To Boost Potential Output Growth.

Let me now speak about the second point, that is the need to press with structural reforms and I will go from need to urgency. As mentioned before, medium-term growth is expected to remain subdued, reflecting longstanding unresolved challenges which include low investment and especially low productivity growth.

Also, the region is suffering shifting demographics that will slow growth further. The labour force is growing less than before, and this will weaken one essential engine for growth. The impediments for growth are many and country specific, some are more common, and that reality is confronted with an ongoing reform agenda that is thin in many countries. This could lead to a vicious cycle of low growth, social discontent and populist policies. So greater efforts to advance with structural reforms are needed to boost potential growth and raise living standards.

We see that strengthening governance is a priority that cuts across all areas of growth. This includes, for example, reinforcing the rule of law, improving government effectiveness, and, importantly, tackling crime more efficiently. Improving the business environment and public investment is also needed to increase overall investment. While reducing informality and making labour markets more attuned to more productivity gains is important. This part of the labour market is also really important for women labour force participation, because this is one of the sources to offset the demographic headwinds.

Positioning The Region To Fully Harness The Benefits Of The Global Green Transition And New Technological Advances.

These reforms will also be essential in positioning the region to fully harness the benefits of the global green transition and new technological advances. It is disappointing that until now mining investment, for example, in the region has not picked up despite the new opportunities for green minerals. This suggests, and I quote here, “we can do better,” as the IMF Managing Director stressed in her initial annual meeting speech, that also applies to our region.

From our side, through policy advice, capacity development, and financial support, we are ready to continue engaging, supporting countries in their efforts to strengthen their macroeconomic frameworks and increase economic resilience and growth opportunities.

Rodrigo Valdes, Director, Western Hemisphere Department (WHD), IMF
Presentation made at a press briefing for the Regional Economic Outlook for the Western Hemisphere.

As a leader, you recognize the importance of inspiring your team with a compelling vision. Yet, you may find that your company’s vision statement, despite its lofty aspirations, fails to inspire meaningful change. How can you craft and communicate a future that genuinely motivates your team to take action?

The Challenge of an Inherited Vision Statement

Imagine you’re a newly promoted CEO. Among the many responsibilities you’ve inherited is a vision statement. While it might look passable on paper, it has yet to inspire you, let alone your team, to embrace new behaviors or think differently.

It’s not that you lack vision yourself—after all, your success is built on envisioning possibilities and pursuing them. But translating that personal energy into an organizational vision that resonates with others is a different challenge altogether. Should you simply rewrite the vision statement, or is there a better way to achieve meaningful impact?

Here’s a fresh approach to this age-old leadership dilemma.

Understanding How Vision Truly Works

A powerful vision fundamentally transforms how we experience the present. Think about the difference between a Friday afternoon in the office and a Sunday afternoon. The former often feels better—not because of the immediate circumstances but because of our anticipation of the weekend. This sense of future anticipation changes how we perceive the present moment.

That’s the kind of shift you want to inspire in your stakeholders. You want them to feel energized by the future you’re describing, just as you are. The hallmark of success is when individuals take initiative, make sacrifices, and go beyond their job descriptions—not because they’re told to, but because they’re inspired to.

But here’s the hard truth: a traditional vision statement alone cannot deliver this kind of transformative impact.

Rethinking Vision: Introducing the Three Levels

Most organizations begin with what can be termed a “Level 1 Vision”: a concise, polished statement, often a few sentences or paragraphs, that attempts to summarize the future. However, these statements are frequently vague, generic, and uninspiring. They might sound nice but leave people either indifferent or skeptical. Some may even feel the statement describes what the organization has already achieved, rendering it irrelevant.

A better approach is to think of the Level 1 Vision as just the “headline” of a more detailed vision framework. Here’s how to expand it.

Building a Level 2 Vision

To create a meaningful vision at this level, gather your leadership team for an offsite retreat and focus on a specific long-term horizon—typically 15 to 30 years in the future. Work together to describe a vivid picture of what success looks like at that time. This Level 2 Vision goes beyond a brief statement; it provides several pages of detail, potentially including visuals, videos, or other media to bring the future to life.

The key here is collaboration. By involving your leadership team, you not only create a shared sense of ownership but also tap into a wider pool of creativity and ambition. A well-crafted Level 2 Vision should reflect the aspirations of your entire C-suite, energizing everyone involved.

However, many organizations stop at this stage. While the Level 2 Vision is more compelling than a simple statement, it often becomes an overwhelming list of aspirations. Without prioritization (and reduction), it risks becoming unrealistic, leading to cynicism rather than inspiration. Some employees may even dismiss it as “the CEO’s wish list.”

To avoid this pitfall, you must take the next step.

Evolving to a Level 3 Vision

The “Level 3 Vision” transforms lofty aspirations into a credible, actionable plan. This involves narrowing down the vision to a focused set of achievable targets supported by a strategic roadmap.

This process requires tough conversations. Your leadership team will need to negotiate priorities, confront trade-offs, and align on a clear path forward. Engaging a skilled facilitator can help ensure these discussions are productive and lead to consensus.

The outcome is a vision that stands apart from your competitors. A Level 3 Vision includes:

– Specific, measurable results: Clearly defined goals with tangible metrics.

– Milestones: Key achievements along the journey to the ultimate vision.

– A strategic pathway: A roadmap showing how to get from the present to the desired future.

– Team alignment: Full buy-in from your leadership team, ensuring commitment to execution.

With this, your vision evolves from an abstract dream into a realistic plan that inspires action.

Communicating Across the Three Levels

Once your Level 3 Vision is established, it’s crucial to communicate it effectively. Each level of vision—Level 1, Level 2, and Level 3—has a role to play depending on your audience and context.

For example, a Level 1 Vision offers a concise, memorable summary. Think of Vision 2030 Jamaica’s tagline: “…the place of choice to live, work, raise families and do business.” It’s short, evocative, and easy to recall.

A Level 2 Vision, on the other hand, provides more depth. Vision 2030 Jamaica expands on its tagline with four National Goals and 15 Outcomes, offering stakeholders a richer understanding of the country’s aspirations.

Finally, a Level 3 Vision delivers the detailed roadmap necessary to ensure credibility and guide execution.

By mastering these three levels, you can tailor your communication to inspire stakeholders while maintaining clarity and focus. Avoid the mistake of using the wrong level for the audience or situation, which can lead to confusion or disengagement.

Conclusion

Transforming vision statements into actionable, inspiring frameworks requires more than polished language. By embracing a three-level approach, you can align your team, inspire stakeholders, and chart a credible path to the future. Choose the right level of vision for the right moment, and you’ll not only communicate your aspirations—you’ll make them a reality.

Intrigued? Interested in more? Visit the JumpLeap Long-Term Strategy Podcast and Newsletter.

Francis Wade
Jump Long-Term Newsletter and Podcast
http://blog.fwconsulting.com, http://fwconsulting.com