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Trinidad And Tobago Economic Review 2018 -2019

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Overview

Provisional estimates of economic activity in Trinidad and Tobago (T&T) point to a turnaround, with growth estimated at 1.9% in 2018. The reinvigoration was largely underpinned by recovery in the manufacturing sector (mainly energy and energy-related). Headline inflation slowed. Sustained fiscal consolidation efforts resulted in a smaller fiscal deficit. Net public debt contracted as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP). Commercial bank credit to the private sector continued to grow.

The Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago (CBTT) raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.0% in June. Transactions with the rest of the world resulted in an external current account surplus; but the gross reserves recorded further contraction.

Economic outlook is cautiously upbeat. Output growth is projected to tick up to 2.0% in 2019; and the improvement in fiscal conditions is expected to be sustained.

However, risks to the outlook are mainly tilted to the downside.

Key Developments in 2018

According to the Central Statistical Office (CSO), GDP is estimated to have expanded by 1.9% in 2018. Preliminary data show that manufacturing was the lead growth sector. Following two consecutive years of contraction, manufacturing expanded by 7.3%. Production of petroleum and chemical products recorded the strongest growth (9.0%) in the sector.

The other notable increase came from the manufacturing of food, beverages and tobacco, which expanded by 5.6%. The reversal was a consequence of increased production and slightly higher average global prices for petroleum products in 2018. The non-energy sector recorded a marginal uptick of 0.1%.

Data to September 2018 indicate that headline inflation (period average) was contained at 1.0% year-on-year. In September, food inflation was zero, after declining for the first time in seven years in August (-0.1%). Core inflation rose by 1.4% in September, from 0.8% in April, reflecting increased costs of home ownership and higher prices for fast food meals.

Over the same review period, the Producer Prices Index fell by 0.9%, following a slightly steeper fall in June, lending further support to the low inflationary environment at the retail level.

Weak economic conditions compromised employment performance prior to 2018. No data is yet available for 2018. Data for 2017 point to an increase in the unemployment rate to 4.4% in the fourth quarter, from 3.6% in the corresponding period of 2016.

Ongoing fiscal consolidation efforts led to improved fiscal balances. Preliminary estimates indicate that the overall deficit reached 4.0% of GDP in fiscal year (FY) 2018, compared with 9.1% in FY 2017, while the primary deficit narrowed to 1.2% of GDP from 6.0% over the same period.

The Government achieved an overall reduction in expenditure of 1.7%, with cuts across most categories ‒ most notably, an 8.2% decrease in wages and salaries, and a 5.9% reduction in transfers and subsidies.

Meanwhile, total revenues increased by 17.8%, mainly based on the introduction of a 35.0% tax bracket for commercial banks; increased receipts from oil companies; and goods and services taxes. Most of the deficit was financed domestically.

Net public sector debt was estimated at 62.2% of GDP at the end of FY 2018, down from 62.7% a year earlier. The improvement in the debt position is consistent with better fiscal outturns, and the resulting reduction in borrowing requirements for FY 2018.

Monetary conditions tightened somewhat during the course of 2018. Citing a positive economic outturn during the first half of the year, as well as credit growth, low inflation and higher external interest rates, CBTT raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.0% in June. The median prime lending rate also increased by 25 basis points to 9.3%.

Outcomes in the financial sector were mixed in 2018. Provisional data as at October indicate that net credit from the banking system continued its upward trend, although nonperforming loans (NPLs) also increased.

Lending to the private sector grew by 3.4% on account of an expansion in credit extended to businesses, and relatively buoyant consumer lending throughout the year. The ratio of gross NPLs to total loans, still one of the lowest in the Region, rose to 3.3% from 2.9% at the end of 2017. The reported capital adequacy ratio remained relatively stable at 24.3%.

Net official international reserves, although still well above the standard three-month threshold, continued to decline in 2018. Compared with the end of 2017, reserves fell by 9.5% to US$7.6 billion at the end of 2018, the equivalent of eight months of imports. Data to June show that there was a marked improvement in the external current account surplus, which climbed to 17.2% of GDP from 7.4% of GDP in 2017. This outturn was aided by a combination of higher exports and slightly lower imports.

Outlook

The economic outlook for T&T is one of cautious optimism. Real GDP is projected to grow by 2.0% in 2019. Despite the restructuring at Petrotrin, the energy sector is expected to drive growth, particularly in light of increased natural gas output as the Angelin project comes on stream. The performance of the energy sector will likely result in positive spillover effects into the non-˗energy sector.

In the near-term, fiscal and debt conditions will continue to improve as energy-related revenues strengthen, and efforts to contain expenditures are maintained. Credit growth is likely to rise, creating positive feedback loops to economic activity. Increased output from the energy sector is expected to also lead to improvements in the external current account and foreign reserve positions.

However, with the energy industry still dominant, the country is vulnerable to a downturn in energy prices.

Source Caribbean Development Bank Regional Economic Summary 2018

Businessuite Markets

GraceKennedy Announces Leadership Changes – Don Wehby Retires; New CEO Announced

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GraceKennedy Limited has announced key leadership changes, effective February 14, 2025, coinciding with the company’s 103rd anniversary.

After a distinguished tenure, the Honourable Don Wehby, CD, OJ will retire as Group CEO on February 14, 2025, and step down from the Board of Directors. Mr. Wehby joined GraceKennedy in 1995 and was appointed Group CEO in 2011. During his tenure, the company more than doubled in size with revenue moving from J$58 billion in 2011, to J$155 billion in 2023.

Expansion through mergers and acquisitions has been a hallmark of Wehby’s leadership, enabling the company to grow regionally and globally. Under his guidance, it has become one of the largest and most dynamic entities in the Caribbean, with operations spanning the Caribbean, North and Central America, the United Kingdom, and Europe. “I am proud of the progress we have made during my tenure, and I am confident that the new leadership team will take GraceKennedy to even greater heights,” said Wehby. “I want to thank the Board, my colleagues, and our customers for their support over the years,” he added.

Frank James, current CEO of the company’s Domestic Foods Division and former Group CFO, will assume the position of Group CEO on February 14th, 2025, and be appointed to the Board on the same date. Mr. James joined GraceKennedy in 2005 as Vice President of Strategic Planning and Corporate Development. James quickly moved through the ranks, occupying senior roles in both the Food and Financial Services Divisions, before he was appointed Group CFO in 2012. He was also appointed to the Board of Directors that same year. In April 2019, James was appointed Chief Executive Officer, GK Foods Domestic, the largest division in the group of companies, where he has championed growth and efficiency. Under his leadership, revenues for GK Foods Domestic grew by more than sixty percent up to 2023 and continues on that growth path, with even greater growth in profitability over the period.

“I am honoured to take on the role of Group CEO and lead the GraceKennedy team,” said Mr James. “We will continue to focus on delivering value to our customers, shareholders, and the communities we serve,” he added.

Professor Gordon Shirley, Chairman of GraceKennedy Limited, commented, “Don Wehby is an exceptional leader who sees opportunities in challenges and leads by example. We are grateful for his innovative spirit, impeccable work ethic and dedication to ensuring that the company continues to make a difference in the communities we serve. Don’s leadership and vision has been instrumental in shaping the company into what it is today.”

He added, “We welcome Frank to his new role as Group CEO and I have every confidence that his strong leadership will ensure continued growth and innovation across the business. The best is yet to come for GraceKennedy.”

Professor Shirley also expressed his gratitude to Andrew Messado, GraceKennedy Group CFO, for his exemplary leadership during the transition period, following Don Wehby’s temporary leave of absence as Group CEO, in late 2024. The GraceKennedy Chairman noted, “Mr. Messado’s steady hand ensured the company’s continued momentum, and his contributions during this period are gratefully acknowledged.”

These leadership changes are in keeping with the company’s succession plan and are designed to ensure continuity and drive future growth, in line with its 2030 Vision of becoming the Caribbean’s #1 brand with Jamaican roots and a global reach.

GraceKennedy Limited has named Frank James as its new Chief Executive Officer (CEO) as it announced the retirement of Don Wehby from the post.

In October last year, Wehby announced he was taking temporary leave from his role to focus on his health.

In a media release on Tuesday, GraceKennedy said Wehby will retire as Group CEO on February 14 and step down from the board of directors.

Wehby joined GraceKennedy in 1995 and was appointed Group CEO in 2011. During his tenure, the company more than doubled in size with revenue moving from $58 billion in 2011 to $155 billion in 2023.

Professor Gordon Shirley, Chairman of GraceKennedy Limited, commented, “Don Wehby is an exceptional leader who sees opportunities in challenges and leads by example. We are grateful for his innovative spirit, impeccable work ethic and dedication to ensuring that the company continues to make a difference in the communities we serve. Don’s leadership and vision has been instrumental in shaping the company into what it is today.”

James, who is the current CEO of the company’s Domestic Foods Division and former Group Chief Financial Officer, will assume the position of Group CEO on February 14 and be appointed to the board on the same date.

James joined GraceKennedy in 2005 as Vice President of Strategic Planning and Corporate Development. He quickly moved through the ranks, occupying senior roles in both the Food and Financial Services Divisions, before he was appointed Group CFO in 2012. He was also appointed to the board of directors that same year.

In April 2019, James was appointed Chief Executive Officer, GK Foods Domestic, the largest division in the group of companies, where he has championed growth and efficiency. Under his leadership, revenues for GK Foods Domestic grew by more than 60 per cent up to 2023.

In commenting on his new role, James. said, “We will continue to focus on delivering value to our customers, shareholders, and the communities we serve.”

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Businessuite News24

Corporate Movements – January 2025

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Scotia Group Jamaica Limited has announced the resignation of Perrin Gayle, Executive Vice President of Retail and Small Business Banking and Acting Head of Retail (Caribbean and Central America) effective January 24, 2025. Perrin joined the organization in 2012 and held progressively senior roles in both Trinidad & Tobago and Jamaica. During his tenure, Perrin made a very strong contribution to our team, and we wish him well. Upon Perrin’s departure, Yvett Anderson, the current Director of Customer Experience & Advocacy, will support the business as Acting Head of Retail and Small Business for Caribbean North and Central.

The Jamaica Stock Exchange (“JSE”) announces that the Managing Director, Dr. Marlene Street Forrest, will continue to serve in her current capacity until the Board of Directors has successfully completed the recruitment process for her successor.The JSE Board and Dr. Marlene Street Forrest are committed to ensuring a smooth transition to maintain the integrity, stability and continued growth of the organization. The recruitment process is well underway, and the Board remains focused on selecting a candidate who will uphold the JSE’s legacy of innovation and excellence in capital market development.

VM Investments Limited (VMIL) advises that Mrs. Nicole Adamson, who held the post of  Manager, Research, Business Planning and Investor Relations at VMIL and VM Wealth Management Limited (VMWM), resigned from the company effective December 31, 2024.

The Board of Directors of Pan Jamaica Group Limited (‘PJG’) has confirmed that Stephen Facey and Jeffrey Hall will remain as Chairman, and Vice Chairman & Chief Executive Officer (‘CEO’) of PJG, respectively. PJG previously indicated its intention to name a successor to Mr. Hall as CEO and simultaneously to appoint Mr. Hall as Executive Chairman of PJG with effect from January 2025. The PJG Board has confirmed that both the company and the persons involved are completely satisfied with the current governance and executive leadership arrangements, and accordingly, the Board has elected to defer the planned succession.

Pan Jamaica Group Limited (‘PJG’) announces that Mr. Eric Scott, Deputy Chief Financial Officer will be leaving PJG to pursue other opportunities, effective March 31, 2025.

The Board of Directors of Derrimon Trading Company Limited (DTL) is pleased to announce the appointment of Ian C. Kelly, CD, as Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2025. Mr. Kelly, who joined Derrimon in 2011, most recently served as Group Chief Financial Officer, Executive Director, and Divisional Director at Sampars, Corporate Planner and Finance Director. Derrick Cotterell, the outgoing CEO and Chairman, will assume the role of Executive Chairman after 26 years of visionary leadership at the helm of the company. This leadership transition aligns with Derrimon’s robust corporate governance and strategic succession planning, ensuring the separation of the roles of CEO and Chairman. Mr. Kelly’s extensive accomplishments at Derrimon include spearheading the execution of many key mergers and acquisitions, the initial IPO in 2013 and negotiating and securing funding for Derrimon’s transformative projects, including the J$4.076 billion Additional Public Offering in 2021. His commitment to innovation and operational excellence positions him as a transformative leader for Derrimon’s next chapter.

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Artificial Intelligence

CARIBIZTECH 2025 “Harnessing Generative AI: Revolutionizing Logistics, Fulfillment, Ecommerce and Transportation Across the Caribbean’s Digital Future”

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A Silicon Mountain Project – Artificial Intelligence Summit 2025, Silicon Mountain Mandeville Manchester Jamaica. October 1-3 2025.

2025 Event Theme: “Harnessing Generative AI: Revolutionizing Logistics, Fulfillment, Ecommerce and Transportation Across the Caribbean’s Digital Future.”

Event Structure: • Duration: 2 days   • Format: In-person   • Sessions: 4 thematic segments, each featuring a keynote presentation followed by two panel discussions

Key Features of CARIBIZTECH:

Expert Keynotes & Panels: Industry leaders from across the Caribbean and beyond will share insights on AI and its impact on, Logistics, Fulfillment, and Transportation, Fintech Innovations and Mobile Payments, E-commerce, Voice Commerce, and Social Commerce cybersecurity, cloud computing, and other emerging technologies.

Startup Ecosystem & Pitch Competitions: CARIBIZTECH will feature a showcase for startups to pitch their ideas, enabling entrepreneurs to connect with venture capitalists and investors.

Workshops & Training: Participants will engage in hands-on sessions aimed at upskilling in areas like blockchain, data science, and AI.

Networking & Collaboration Hubs: CARIBIZTECH will create spaces for participants to build partnerships, echoing the community-building focus of the event.

Celebration of Regional Talent: A special emphasis will be placed on spotlighting Caribbean-born innovators and fostering collaboration between local and international stakeholders.

Impact Goals:

  1. Foster a thriving tech ecosystem in Mandeville Central Jamaica.
  2. Attract global attention and investment to Silicon Mountain.
  3. Cultivate a culture of innovation and collaboration across the region.

Day 1:

Session 1: Revolutionizing Logistics, Fulfillment, and Transportation with Generative AI

• Keynote Presentation: “AI-Driven Logistics: Navigating the Future of Caribbean Transportation” Overview: Examine how Generative AI is optimizing supply chains, enhancing delivery systems, and transforming transportation networks in the Caribbean.

• Panel Discussion 1: “Smart Ports and AI: Enhancing Maritime Logistics” Overview: Explore the integration of AI in port operations to improve efficiency and security.

• Panel Discussion 2: “AI in Urban Mobility: Redefining Public Transportation” Overview: Discuss AI applications in public transit systems to enhance commuter experiences.

Session 2: The Evolution of Commerce: E-commerce, Voice Commerce, and Social Commerce in the Age of AI

• Keynote Presentation: “Voice-Activated Shopping: The Next Frontier in Caribbean Retail” Overview: Delve into how AI-powered voice commerce is reshaping consumer interactions and purchasing behaviours.

• Panel Discussion 1: “Social Commerce Strategies: Leveraging AI for Business Growth” Overview: Discuss how businesses can utilize AI to enhance social media-driven sales.

 Panel Discussion 2: “AI Personalization in E-commerce: Enhancing Customer Experience” Overview: Examine AI’s role in creating personalized shopping experiences to boost customer satisfaction and loyalty.

Day 2:

Session 3: Fintech Innovations: Redefining Mobile Payments with Generative AI

• Keynote Presentation: “AI-Powered Fintech: Revolutionizing Mobile Payments in the Caribbean” Overview: Explore how Generative AI is enhancing security, efficiency, and accessibility in mobile payment solutions.

 Panel Discussion 1: “Blockchain and AI: Securing the Future of Digital Transactions” Overview: Discuss the convergence of AI and blockchain technologies in creating secure payment ecosystems.

• Panel Discussion 2: “Financial Inclusion through AI: Expanding Access to Banking Services” Overview: Examine how AI-driven mobile payment solutions are promoting financial inclusion in underserved communities.

Session 4: Generative AI: Shaping the Future of Technology and Business

• Keynote Presentation: “The Creative Machine: Unleashing the Potential of Generative AI” Overview: Provide an in-depth understanding of Generative AI and its broad applications across various industries.

 Panel Discussion 1: “Ethical Considerations in AI: Balancing Innovation and Responsibility” Overview: Discuss the ethical implications of AI development and deployment, emphasizing responsible innovation.

 Panel Discussion 2: “AI and the Future Workforce: Preparing for Emerging Opportunities” Overview: Explore how AI is transforming job markets and the skills required for future employment.

Day 3: Additional Features to Enhance Appeal (Optional)

Caribiztech 2025 aims to provide a comprehensive and engaging experience that addresses the latest trends and opportunities in Generative AI, tailored to the Caribbean context.

Startup Showcase: An Exhibition area where emerging tech startups can present their AI-driven solutions, fostering networking and investment opportunities.   Workshops and Masterclasses: Interactive sessions providing hands-on experience with AI tools and technologies, tailored for different expertise levels.  Networking Events: Organized meetups, including a welcome reception and closing gala, to facilitate connections among attendees.

Diversity and Inclusion Panels: Discussions focused on promoting inclusivity within the tech industry, ensuring diverse perspectives in AI development.

Knights$Angels Investor Pitch Sessions:

Opportunities for entrepreneurs to pitch their AI-based business ideas to potential investors, encouraging funding and collaboration.   “Knights$Angels” is an exciting, high-stakes 60-minute made-for-TV program that brings the world of investment to life by providing exclusive insight into the real-world decision-making processes of investors and how entrepreneurs pitch their ideas.   The show aims to transform how investment is perceived in the Caribbean, focusing on providing a clear understanding of how deals are made and what it truly takes to secure investment.   The programme will specifically focus on Technology and Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI), covering emerging areas like Voice Commerce, Transportation and Logistics, and related tech trends that are shaping the future. Entrepreneurs with innovative ideas in these fields will have the unique opportunity to pitch to investors who are ready to commit capital to fuel the growth of these high-potential ventures.

01 Presentation Opportunities :

For more information on presentation opportunies please email thesiliconmountainproject@gmail.com with the reference “Presentations”  or call  (876) 630 2216 (O) (876) 542 3719 (M) siliconmountainproject.com

02 Sponsorship Opportunities

For more information on Sponsorship Opportunies please email thesiliconmountainproject@gmail.com with the reference “Sponsorship”  or call  (876) 630 2216 (O) (876) 542 3719 (M) siliconmountainproject.com

03 Exhibition Opportunities

For more information on Exhibition Opportunies please email thesiliconmountainproject@gmail.com with the reference “Exhibitions” or call  (876) 630 2216 (O) (876) 542 3719 (M) siliconmountainproject.com

 

 Official Event Organisers : 360 Signature Events is an AMK Communications Limited Company. Operating from “Silicon Mountain – The Business Technology and Innovation Hub of the Caribbean” Mandeville Manchester Jamaica. 360 Signature Events, specializes in organizing Exhibitions, Conventions, Conferences, Seminars, Sporting and Hospitality Events, Road Shows, Brand Promotions, Product Launches, Incentive Programs, and other Special Events. Let us help you make your next event extraordinary. To learn more, check the following link: www.amkcom.com, 360signatureevents@gmail.com

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Businessuite News24

The International Merchandise Trade Bulletin January to August 2024 – Jamaica

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Jamaica’s total spending on imports for the period January to August 2024, were valued at US$4,949.2 million, while earnings from total exports were
valued at US$1,195.9 million as released today by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN).

The value of imports was 2.6 per cent lower than the US$5,079.5 million spent for the January to August 2023 period. This decline was largely attributable to lower imports of Raw Materials/Intermediate Goods and Fuels and Lubricant, which fell by 12.7 per cent and 1.9 per cent, respectively.

Revenue from total exports declined by 13.8 per cent over the review period when compared to the US$1,387.3 million earned for January to August 2023. This was due primarily to a 60.5 per cent fall in the value of re-exports. However, earnings from domestic exports for the 2024 review period increased by 1.1 per cent to US$1,062.9 million, due to an 8.7 per cent rise in the value of exports from the Mining and Quarrying industry.

MAIN TRADING PARTNERS
The five main trading import partners for the period January to August 2024 were the United States of America (USA), China, Brazil, Japan and Colombia. Expenditure on imports of goods from these countries fell by 3.8 per cent to US$2,995.8 million when compared to US$3,115.0 million recorded in the same period of 2023. This decrease was largely due to a 5.9 per cent fall in imports of “Mineral Fuels”.

The top five destinations for Jamaica’s exports were the USA, the Russia Federation, Iceland, the Netherlands and Canada. The value of total exports to these countries increased by 10.3per cent to US$843.4 million due mainly to a 49.5 per cent increase in the value of exports of “Crude Materials”.

The International Merchandise Trade Bulletin outlines additional information on Jamaica’s international trade activities. The August 2024 International Merchandise Trade Bulletin is available on the Statistical Institute of Jamaica’s website www.statinja.gov.jm or from the Information Section of the Institute at (876)-630-1626. Visit the Institute’s Facebook and Instagram pages @STATINJA for the August 2024 IMT infographics.

About Us: The Statistical Institute of Jamaica is the National Statistics Office and the leading provider of official statistics on the country’s economic, social, demographic, and environmental conditions. The Institute periodically releases monthly, quarterly, and annual products such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation rate, international merchandise trade, social and population statistics. STATIN is dedicated to delivering accurate, comprehensive, and timely data that supports informed decision-making and aligns with the Institute’s mission.

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Producer Price Index – The Statistical Institute of Jamaica

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Output prices for producers in the Mining and Quarrying industry increased by 0.2 per cent for November 2024, while the Manufacturing industry remained relatively unchanged as released today by the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN).

The movement in the Mining and Quarrying industry was attributed to a similar 0.2 per cent increase in the index for the major group ‘Bauxite Mining & Alumina Processing’.

For the Manufacturing industry, there was a decline of 2.2 per cent in the index for the major group ‘Refined Petroleum Products’ driven by lower international petroleum prices, while there was a 0.5 per cent increase in the index for the heaviest weighted major group, ‘Food, Beverages & Tobacco’.

For the period November 2023 – November 2024, the point-to-point index for the Mining & Quarrying industry increased by 8.8 per cent.

This was mainly due to an increase of 9.0 per cent in the index for the major group ‘Bauxite Mining & Alumina Processing’.

The point-to-point index for the Manufacturing industry increased by 0.3 per cent, contributing to this was a 3.3 per cent increase in the index for the major group ‘Food, Beverages & Tobacco’.

However, the industry’s overall increase was tempered by a 10.7 per cent decline in the index for the major group ‘Refined Petroleum Products’.

The November 2024 Producer Price Index Bulletin provides additional information on the movement of producers’ prices and is available on STATIN’s website www.statinja.gov.jm or from the Information Section of STATIN at (876) 630-1619.

Visit the Institute’s Facebook and Instagram pages @STATINJA for the November 2024 PPI infographic.

The average exchange rate for the previous month was used in calculating the PPI for the current period.

The assumption is that producers would not have purchased their raw materials in the current month.

About Us: The Statistical Institute of Jamaica is the National Statistics Office and the leading provider of official statistics on the country’s economic, social, demographic, and environmental conditions. The Institute periodically releases monthly, quarterly, and annual products such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation rate, international merchandise trade, social and population statistics. STATIN is dedicated to delivering accurate, comprehensive, and timely data that supports informed decision-making and aligns with the Institute’s mission.

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