Minister of Finance and the Public Service, Hon. Fayval Williams, has underscored the pivotal role middle managers play in driving Jamaica’s economic progress.

“As Minister, I see every day how important strong leadership is to sustaining the progress we’ve made in stabilising our economy, attracting investment and opening new opportunities for our people,” Mrs. Williams said.

She declared that middle managers are “the energy that gets things done” as they move their companies along, exhibiting true leadership that shapes the transformation of teams and influences the drive towards national development.

“[True leadership] is the consistent demonstration of values, authenticity and strategic focus that leaves behind a real legacy… one not written in résumés but in lives changed, organisations built, and futures secured. I know that you know that titles may grant authority, but only influence grounded in service, discipline and integrity builds the trust that moves countries like Jamaica ahead,” Mrs. Williams said.

She was addressing stakeholders on day one of the Make Your Mark Consultants (MYMC) two-day Middle Managers’ Leadership Conference at The Jamaica Pegasus hotel in New Kingston on Tuesday (April 29).

Mrs. Williams noted that strategic and decisive leadership is especially critical in navigating current global uncertainties.

“In today’s increasingly dynamic global trade environment, Jamaica’s agility or ability to move swiftly, decisively and strategically is essential for national success; and at the execution level, it is you, it is our middle managers who drive that success.

You’re the ones ensuring that vision becomes reality, solving problems, coaching teams, delivering results and adapting to change with confidence and clarity,” she contended.

The Minister further pointed out, “In a Jamaica that is growing steadily stronger with sound leadership, prudent economic management, historic low unemployment rates, a transparent inflation-targeting regime, real investments in education, infrastructure, and innovation, it is clear that, as a country, we are on the right path.”

Meanwhile, Mrs. Williams lauded MYMC for organising what she described as the premier management conference in Jamaica, noting that the event is critical as Jamaica navigates an increasingly complex global economy.

She noted that this year’s conference theme – ‘A Legacy of Change, Transformation and Execution’ – is apt for the occasion.

“It reminds us that leadership is not about titles, offices, or positions. It’s about action [and] the courage to move when others hesitate. It’s about vision… the ability to see beyond today’s challenges and into tomorrow’s possibilities. Most importantly, it’s about influence – the ability to inspire people to believe in a cause greater than themselves, to push past limits to build institutions that will stand the test of time,” the Minister emphasised.

Mrs. Williams encouraged the participating middle managers to take advantage of the conference by actively engaging in the discussions, learning from the experts, sharpening their skills and strengthening their networks so they can be better and stronger leaders, driving Jamaica’s continued growth and transformation.

By: Donique Weston, JIS

The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) projects that the initial impact of rising US tariffs on prices in Jamaica will be minimal.

“In assessing the near-term outlook, the Monetary Policy Committee contemplated the implications for the Jamaican economy of the policies that have been implemented by the US administration, to date, and in so doing looked at several scenarios. From this exercise, the Bank’s view is that the first-round impact of the increase in US tariffs on prices in Jamaica will not be significant,” BOJ Governor, Richard Byles, said.

He was addressing the Quarterly Monetary Policy Report press conference at the Jamaica Conference Centre in downtown Kingston on Wednesday (May 21).

The Governor noted that, in the US, these policies are likely to cause a temporary rise in inflation.

“We expect that the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) will respond appropriately, and we also anticipate a slowing of the pace of US economic growth. We note that the Fed maintained its interest rate target in the range of 4.25 to 4.50 per cent in the May 2025 meeting and is likely to continue to maintain rates for an extended period of time in 2025,” he said.

Mr. Byles pointed out, however, that while some consumer prices in Jamaica may rise due to higher inflation in the US, the impact of imported inflation on overall domestic price level increases will be largely offset by declining global oil prices.

“Given the available information, the Bank, therefore projects, a moderate impact of the US policy changes on prices in Jamaica. In this context, the outlook is for inflation to remain within the Bank’s target range of four to six per cent over the next two years, notwithstanding some upside risk. This outlook assumes stable inflation expectations, a moderate decline in crude oil prices, continued stability in the exchange rate and moderate domestic demand,” the Governor added.

Mr. Byles pointed out that the risks to the inflation forecast are, however, skewed to the upside, which means the out-turn could be higher than projected.

“Higher inflation could stem from a sharper-than-anticipated increase in the tariff faced by trading partners of the US. In addition, domestic inflation could be higher than projected if there is a further escalation in geopolitical tensions, which could negatively impact international supply chains. Lower inflation could, however, result from lower-than-projected international commodity prices as well as weaker demand conditions,” he explained.

Consequently, the Governor said the MPC will continue to closely monitor domestic inflation expectations and any upward pressure on prices resulting from the evolving tariff landscape.

Mr. Byles added that the Bank is prepared to adjust its monetary policy stance if its outlook does not materialise and inflation deviates upwards from the Bank’s target range.

“Importantly, the Bank is well positioned to support stability in the foreign exchange market, should the effects of the policy changes abroad affect foreign exchange flows by more than currently anticipated,” he stated.

The Governor said the BOJ remains committed to achieving its primary mandate of maintaining inflation at four to six per cent and will deploy the tools necessary to preserve price and foreign exchange market stability.

Meanwhile, Mr. Byles said US policy changes may have some impact on Jamaica’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth and the external accounts, to the extent that tourism and goods exports as well as remittances are affected.

“Some of Jamaica’s exports will be exempt from the baseline tariff imposed on Jamaica by the US, and this may augur well for growth in those industries. The economy is, therefore, projected to grow moderately over the near term.

“Against this background, and factoring domestic demand conditions, for fiscal year 2025/26, real GDP is projected to recover in the range of one to three per cent, largely reflecting normalisation in the mining, tourism and construction sectors. In this context, employment levels are projected to remain high, even as anecdotal data suggest that wage pressures are moderating,” he said.

Meanwhile, the Governor indicated that Jamaica’s current account balance is expected to remain in surplus in the near term, with international reserves projected to remain healthy.

“The Bank projects that gross reserves will improve further over the medium- term, remaining above the Assessing Reserve Adequacy (ARA) 100 per cent,” he said.

Mr. Byles pointed out that “the external environment carries much uncertainty, but the domestic macroeconomic outlook remains stable in the Bank’s view”.

By: Chris Patterson, JIS

The Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has unanimously agreed to reduce the policy rate by 25 basis points from six per cent to 5.75 per cent per annum, effective May 21.

The policy rate is offered to deposit-taking institutions (DTIs) on overnight placements with the BOJ.

Central Bank Governor, Richard Byles, speaking during the Quarterly Monetary Policy Report press conference at the Jamaica Conference Centre in downtown Kingston on May 21, said the decision was taken after careful consideration of the implications of global developments, recent economic trends, and the outlook for the Jamaican economy.

The Governor pointed out that the incoming economic data on Jamaica continues to point to a stable domestic economy with inflation remaining in the four per cent to six per cent target range.

“On the 15th of May, the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN) reported that headline inflation as at April 2025 was 5.3 per cent, in line with the out-turn for April 2024. Headline inflation has, therefore, continued to remain within the Bank of Jamaica’s target. Also, core or underlying inflation remains low,” he pointed out.

He further noted that core inflation, which excludes the prices of agricultural food products and fuel from the consumer price index, was 4.4 per cent at April 2025, remaining below six per cent since July 2023.

“The stable and relatively low inflation out-turn primarily reflected the end of the impact of previous price increases for regulated items, such as bus and taxi fares, and no new such increases, which offset higher food inflation. Moreover, the exchange rate, imported inflation and the private sector’s expectations of future inflation have been fairly stable,” he said.

Governor Byles said the MPC also agreed to preserve relative stability in the foreign exchange market.

He noted that expectations about exchange rate depreciation have remained fairly stable.

“At the 14th of May 2025, the exchange rate had depreciated on a year-over-year basis by 1.9 per cent. There was a mild uptick in the pace of depreciation between end April and early May in the context of a slight increase in demand and a build-up of foreign exchange positions by authorised dealers.

“In response, the Bank augmented flows in the market. Cumulatively, BOJ has sold US$1.1 billion via the BOJ-Foreign Exchange Intervention & Trading Tool (B-FXITT) facility over the 12 months to the end of April 2025, compared to US$983 million over the 12 months to the end of April 2024. However, it is important to note that the Bank net purchased approximately US$1.1 billion over the 12-month period to April 2025,” he said.

Mr. Byles noted, further, that as at 14th of May, Jamaica’s gross international reserves remains healthy, amounting to US$5.9 billion or 135 per cent of the measure considered adequate.

He said there has been moderation in imported inflation in the March 2025 quarter relative to the December 2024 quarter, noting that, specifically, oil prices declined during the quarter relative to the previous year.

“The Bank estimates that the domestic economy grew in the range of 0.0 to 1.0 per cent for the March 2025 quarter, which translates into an estimated contraction of -1.0 to -0.5 per cent for the financial year 2024/25. Finally, while employment levels remain high, anecdotal data suggest that wage pressures are moderating,” he added.

By: Chris Patterson, JIS

Director General of the Planning Institute of Jamaica (PIOJ), Dr. Wayne Henry said it is projected that the economy will grow within the range of 0.5 per cent to 1.5 per cent in April to June 2025, relative to April to June 2024.

The Director General explained that this performance will be supported by increased output in agriculture, due to the continued strengthening in domestic crop production and a reduction in the drag on growth from the export crop component as longer-term crops begin to recover.

Hotels & Restaurants are also expected to contribute to growth, largely due to the anticipated increase in stopover arrivals associated with events such as spring break, Easter holidays and Jamaica carnival.

Construction will also be a growth driver due to the impact of the rollout of infrastructure projects at the start of the new fiscal year to include roadworks and residential and non-residential construction activities, Dr. Henry said.

He noted that growth will also be supported by increased domestic demand due to relatively high levels of employment and increased consumer confidence.

“Preliminary data for the quarter indicate some positive movements in support of this projection. Preliminary data on airport arrivals for April 2025 indicate an increase of 5.3 per cent relative to April 2024. However, for the Mining & Quarrying industry, data for April indicates that the heavier weighted alumina production contracted by 12.3 per cent, while crude bauxite production increased by 3.9 per cent,” he explained.

The projection for Fiscal Year 2025/26 is for growth within the range of one to two per cent.

The Director General said that all industries are forecast to record growth, as the recovery from the weather-related shocks in 2024 will become more pronounced in the latter half of calendar year 2025.

He advised that the downside risks to this positive outlook include unplanned factory downtime associated with aged production plants, particularly in the Mining & Quarrying and Manufacturing industries, weather-related shocks associated with the start of the hurricane season, and lower-than-anticipated external demand for Jamaican goods.

By: Judana Murphy, JIS

An investment of $420 million is being made by Jamaica’s largest independent power supplier, InterEnergy Group, for the development of the second compressed natural gas (CNG) facility, at the Jamaica Urban Transit Company’s (JUTC’s) Spanish Town depot.

The disclosure was made by Minister of Science, Energy, Telecommunications and Transport (MSETT), Hon. Daryl Vaz, during a press briefing at the Ministry’s offices in Kingston, on Thursday (May 22).

“This facility will be able to fuel 202 CNG buses per day. Added to the [existing facility at the] Spanish Town depot, that is a total of 397 CNG buses per day,” the Minister outlined.

Mr. Vaz pointed out that the JUTC’s CNG fleet currently has 127 buses, while another 100 are set to arrive in the island within weeks.

“When the InterEnergy facility is completed, we will not only have the capacity to fuel the 227 CNG buses in the fleet but we will also have the capacity to fuel 75 per cent above the demand that will exist for the JUTC with the CNG,” the Transport Minister maintained.

He noted that the InterEnergy facility is expected to be completed between August and September of this year.

“The [new CNG] buses will get here by the middle to the end of June. That is down time. School is off, and we will be in a better position to start back-to-school, not only with the buses being fuelled in Portmore but the new facility in Spanish Town,” he outlined.

Meanwhile, the Minister indicated that the Government has received a proposal from Xcelerate Energy, which has indicated that it is prepared to fund and build out Phase 3 of the Portmore CNG fuel plant, taking the facility’s capacity up to 195 buses per day.

The Government’s investment in CNG buses is expected to further improve operational efficiencies at the JUTC, while leading to significant savings.

By: DONIQUE WESTON JIS

Photo: Donique Weston